The Houston Texans (1-8-1) take to the road to face the Miami Dolphins (7-3) at the Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday for a Week 12 matchup. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in AFC East after collecting seven wins from ten games so far in the regular season, while one win in ten matches leaves Houston Texans fourth in the AFC South. The Miami Dolphins are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Houston Texans, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the Hard Rock Stadium.
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Betting lines
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Betting expert picks
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Moneyline
We’re taking the Miami Dolphins (-625) for the outright win on the moneyline. The 4-1 hosts seem to relish going up against AFC South opposition, especially at the Hard Rock Stadium. They’ve won four of their last five home matchups against AFC South teams. Odds of -625 suggests they have a 86% chance of adding another victory to their haul. On the other side, the Houston Texans are the clear underdogs at +450. The visitors are currently 1-4 on the road.
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Spread
The oddsmakers have the Miami Dolphins (-110) pinned down as -11.5 point favorites against the Houston Texans, leaving the hosts as the clear-cut choice for the win. A winning margin as high as 14.4 points has settled the last five matches between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Miami Dolphins’ recent home record against the Houston Texans is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the Hard Rock Stadium, with an average points margin of 10.8 points between them. In their previous ten games, the Miami Dolphins went 5-5 ATS overall and 5-2 ATS in the last ten games at home.
The Houston Texans, on the other hand, have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games. In their past nine matchups against teams from the AFC East, the Houston Texans have gone 4-4 ATS.
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Total
There was an average of 45.5 points scored in the previous ten clashes between the Miami Dolphins and the Houston Texans.
Going for the Over (-113) might be worth a shot, with the total currently set at 45.5 points, as the total average points from the previous five meetings between the Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans was 48.4 points.
The total has averaged 49.3 points in the Miami Dolphins’ ten most recent games, as well as 37.8 points in their last five at home. Games at the Hard Rock Stadium don’t always seem to produce the expected number of points, as the total has gone under in six of the past nine matchups home matches for the Miami Dolphins.
As for the Houston Texans, the average total has been 38.9 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 37.0 points in the last five on the road. The under market has paid out as the winning bet in each of the Houston Texans’ last nine games.
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans Betting trends
- The total points score went over for the Miami Dolphins, in their last three games
- Houston Texans have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.
NFL Power Rankings Week 12 2022, Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans
Miami Dolphins Form
The Miami Dolphins are on a great run of form after making it four wins in a row by beating the Cleveland Browns 39-17 last week, leaving them 7-3 in their last 10 matches.
The offense has performed to its usual standards of late, putting up 27.4 points in the last five matches, which is on par with the 25.2 points average the Miami Dolphins have achieved for this season. The art of defending isn’t something the Miami Dolphins excel in though. By allowing 24.1 points per game, their defense has been below average compared to the rest of the league this year.
The Miami Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 7-3 from ten games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the home side is to at least maintain or improve on their second seed in the AFC Conference.
Houston Texans Form
The Houston Texans fell to a fifth straight defeat last time out by losing 10-23 to the Washington Commanders, leaving them 1-8-1 from their last 10 matches.
The Houston Texans offense has struggled to bring its A-game this season, putting up a mere 15.9 points on average. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 26.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 23.0 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
Unsurprisingly, the Houston Texans are unlikely to make the NFL postseason as things stand. Few people expected the away side to go far, and given their 1-8 regular season record, it seems they had good reason.
Miami Dolphins VS Houston Texans H2H history
The total went under 45.5 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides. The Miami Dolphins won the match 17-9 against the Houston Texans at the Hard Rock Stadium. The hosts have claimed two wins from their past five matchups against the Houston Texans, leaving them with an overall record of 2-3.
In their past ten head-to-head games, the Miami Dolphins pulled off 20.6 points on average per game, whereas Houston Texans managed 24.9 points per match.