The GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium will host an AFC divisional playoff game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Jacksonville Jaguars on Saturday. In the wild-card round, The fourth-ranked Jacksonville Jaguars knocked the Los Angeles Chargers out by a 31-30 score, while the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs enjoyed a first-round bye. A home victory on Saturday will see the Kansas City Chiefs reach the AFC Championship Game for the fifth time in as many years. The Jacksonville Jaguars, on the other hand, look to assert themselves as a genuine Super Bowl threat by taking a road win.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Jacksonville Jaguars Betting expert picks
Chiefs VS Jaguars Moneyline
Take the Kansas City Chiefs to win (1.22) outright on the moneyline.
The Chiefs enter the playoffs riding a six-match winning streak against the Jaguars. Arizona sports betting sites rate their chances of another victory in this series at 82%, pricing a home win at -450 on the Moneyline. On the other side, the Jaguars have won their last six games. Backing the 10-8 visitors to improve their four-win road tally returns +350 odds, implying there is a 22% chance of a payout.
Take the Chiefs (-450) to win outright on the Moneyline for the upcoming match at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. They look the better pick of the two sides, having gone 5-0 in the last five matches.
Chiefs VS Jaguars Spread
Back the Jacksonville Jaguars +9.0 (1.91) for the best chance of a payout.
The oddsmakers have made the Chiefs the 9-point favorite over the Jaguars, clearly indicating that they believe that a home win is the most probable outcome. The ten most recent matchups in this series have seen an average points margin of 11.7 points.
Against AFC South opponents recently, the Chiefs went 5-7 ATS. Their offense managed 22.5 points per game in that stretch, while the defense gave up 20.4 points on average. The hosts are also 5-5 ATS in the past ten games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
The Jaguars, on the other hand, have covered the spread in five of their last six games. In their past 10 matches, the Jaguars went 7-3 ATS and ended up 4-6 ATS from their ten most recent road trips.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Jaguars Total
Bet the Total under 52.5 (1.91) for this game.
The total may have passed the 45-point mark, but it didn’t quite go above 50 points, as the last ten games between the Chiefs and the Jaguars produced an average of 45.1 points.
The two squads have averaged 43.4 points over their past five meetings in the NFL, which is 9.1 points less than the 52.5-point total that oddsmakers have set for Saturday’s matchup at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
The total has averaged 47.0 points in the Chiefs ten most recent games, as well as 40.4 points in their last five at home. Games at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium don’t always seem to produce the expected number of points, as the total has gone under in four of the past five home matches for the home side.
Meanwhile, the Jaguars have seen an average of 42.4 points in their past five road games and 48.5 points in their last five contests in all. Interestedly, the total has gone under in nine of the away side’s last 12 games in January.
Kansas City Chiefs VS Jacksonville Jaguars Betting trends
- Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the spread in five of their last six games.
- Jacksonville Jaguars lost the last six H2H game against Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Form
Fresh from a first-round bye, the Chiefs get their playoff run going on Saturday. They beat the Las Vegas Raiders 13-31 in their regular-season finale, leaving them 14-3 for their past 10 games and 7-1 for the last five at home.
The Chiefs rank first in the NFL’s offensive rankings, averaging 29.2 points this season and 25.1 points at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. On the other side of the ball, the defense has struggled to match last season’s eighth-place finish in the defensive rankings, giving up 21.7 points on average in all outings.
Last season, the Chiefs were one game away from reaching the Super Bowl. After advancing through the AFC playoffs, they fell to defeat in the AFC Championship Game. It was a difficult end to an otherwise impressive year for the Chiefs, who hope to prove they can go all the way this time around.
Jacksonville Jaguars Form
The Jaguars enter the divisional playoffs riding a three-game winning streak on the road. They travel to the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium with a 4-5 road record for this season. In their wild-card match, the away side defeated the Los Angeles Chargers 31-30.
The Jaguars’ offensive line has improved leaps and bounds since posting a mere 14.9 points per game last season, ranking tenth in the NFL with 24.2 points this year. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the visitors have only given up 17.2 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 21.1 points per game in comparison.
Missing out on playoffs last year, the Jaguars look poised for a deep run for postseason glory. After a 10-7 regular season, they clinched first place in the AFC South and fourth seed overall in the AFC Conference.
Chiefs VS Jacksonville Jaguars H2H history
The total went under 52.5 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in November 2022. The Chiefs won the match 27-17 against the Jaguars at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Playing the Chiefs on the road has often proved to be an experience to forget for the Jaguars, especially in their last five visits, which saw them fall to defeat four times.
In their last ten head-to-head games, the Kansas City Chiefs managed 26.5 points on average per game, while the Jacksonville Jaguars put 18.6 points on board.