The Dallas Cowboys (12-5) head to the Raymond James Stadium to face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9) in an NFL wild-card round game on Monday. The fifth-seeded Dallas Cowboys made it to the postseason as the top NFC wild-card pick, while NFC South champions Tampa Bay Buccaneers clinched the fourth seed. Earlier in the season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers bested the Dallas Cowboys 3-19 at AT&T Stadium. With the same level of play, they hope to reach the divisional round with a follow-up win. However, having been eliminated from the playoffs last year at this stage, the Dallas Cowboys are desperate to avoid a repeat this time around.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Betting lines
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Betting expert picks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Moneyline
Take the Dallas Cowboys to win (1.67) outright on the moneyline.
Despite their home-field advantage, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers aren’t favored on the moneyline for this week’s matchup. They are 5-4 SU at the Raymond James Stadium and 8-9 SU for the season itself. Instead, the Dallas Cowboys are favored on the moneyline. A road win is priced at -150, which implies the visitors have a 60% chance of taking the victory and improving their 12-5 record.
Dallas Cowboys lost back-to-back games against the Washington Commanders and the Tennessee Titans – opponents they should be better than. Despite this, the upcoming matchup against Tampa Bay Buccaneers can help them get back on track.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Spread
Take the Dallas Cowboys -3.0 (2.00) as they are the best bet.
The Dallas Cowboys open up as the 3-point favorites over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, according to the oddsmakers. This implies a tight battle is likely, with a road win possible but not by much. In the last ten matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 7.6 points.
Going against the spread with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hasn’t been a smart move of late, with the team failing to cover in six of the previous seven games. The hosts are also 2-7-1 ATS in the past ten games at home and 2-7-1 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the Dallas Cowboys’ recent road record against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the Raymond James Stadium, with an average points margin of 8.8 points between them. The visitors are 4-5-1 ATS from their ten most recent road trips, as well as 4-5-1 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Total
Taking the Total over 45.5 (1.91) is the smart pick for this showdown.
Matches between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Dallas Cowboys tend not to be the most high-scoring affairs, as the average total has been 37.2 points in their last ten meetings.
In these previous ten matchups, five produced point totals that were higher than expected. Over was the winning pick three times out of four at the Raymond James Stadium. 45.5 points is the current yardstick for Monday’s matchup.
When betting on the total in Tampa Bay Buccaneers games, consider that each of their last two matches went over. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, the total went over two times. They are 5-5 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
As for the Dallas Cowboys, the average total has been 57.1 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 49.6 points in the last five on the road. The under market has paid out as the winning bet in each of the Dallas Cowboys’ last ten games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys Betting trends
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games.
- In four of Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ last five games, the total went over
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the last three H2H games against Dallas Cowboys
NFL Power Rankings Week of 16 2022, Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers slipped to 8-9 in last week’s regular-season finale after falling to a 30-17 defeat against the Atlanta Falcons. They are 5-5 across their ten most recent games and 4-1 in the past five at home.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ offensive output has had a sharp decline in numbers this season. Last year, the home side managed 29.9 points per game to rank second in the league, but has only put up 18.4 points in the current one. On the other side of the ball, the defense has struggled to match last season’s fifth-place finish in the defensive rankings, giving up 21.1 points on average in all outings.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are back for another crack at the Lombardi Trophy. They survived an unforgiving NFC to take the fourth seed and won the NFC South after a 8-9 season. With home-field advantage on their side, they hope to start their playoff run with a bang.
Dallas Cowboys Form
The Dallas Cowboys were left licking their wounds when the Washington Commanders beat them 26-6 in their final regular season game. It left them with a 12-5 record and 2-3 in the last five on the road.
The Dallas Cowboys rank up in third-place in the NFL’s offensive rankings, with 27.5 points per game this season and 24.6 points on the road. The visiting defense looks more than capable of taking on any offense at any place, having allowed just 20.6 points on the road this year to post the sixth-best away record.
The Dallas Cowboys earned the right to be in the playoffs after a 12-5 season. The visitors finished second in the NFC East and took the fifth seed in the NFC Conference, which could make them dangerous come postseason time.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers VS Dallas Cowboys H2H history
The total went under 45.5 points in the most recent encounter between these two sides in September 2022. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers won the match 3-19 against the Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium. In the past five matchups, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers claimed three wins against the Dallas Cowboys to go 3-2 in this series.
In their past ten head-to-head games, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers pulled off 17.2 points on average per game, whereas Dallas Cowboys managed 20 points per match.