The Miami Dolphins (8-6) play the Green Bay Packers (6-8) at Hard Rock Stadium on 25th December at 13:00. In terms of straight wins, the Miami Dolphins have had the more successful year. They have bagged eight wins out of a possible 14, two more than the Green Bay Packers, who are third in the NFC North. It leaves them in second place in the AFC East going into this Week 16 matchup. The Miami Dolphins need a win and need it fast to keep their playoff hopes alive. Three defeats in a row are always brutal, and the Green Bay Packers should be wary of an opponent super motivated to end their current poor run.
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Betting lines
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Betting expert picks
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Moneyline
The Miami Dolphins are the favorites for this Week 16 matchup, but we’re not too keen on their recent patchy form. The hosts have lost three of their last five contests and look like a red flag at the Hard Rock Stadium to us. Instead, we like the look of the Green Bay Packers continuing their dominance in this series, having won three of their last four matchups against the Miami Dolphins.
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Spread
The Miami Dolphins are favored by 6.0 points against the Green Bay Packers in Week 16 betting lines. This leaves them heavy favorites to win Sunday’s matchup outright. The spread has been a bit too high in the last four matches between the Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers, going 1.3 points short to be exact. The average winning margin was 8.8 points. For this showdown, the oddsmakers have the spread set at 6.
The Miami Dolphins went 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games against NFC North teams. The offense put up 20.3 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 24.0 points. The hosts are also 6-2 ATS in the past eight games at home and 4-6 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
Over the past ten games against AFC East opponents, the Green Bay Packers went 6-4 ATS. Their offense averaged 27.3 points per game during that span, and the defense gave up 20.9 points on average. In their past 10 matches, the Green Bay Packers went 4-6 ATS and also ended up 3-6 ATS from their nine most recent road trips.
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Total
The last four games between the Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers offered a decent average of 48.75 points on the board. The current total on the Week 16 betting line for this matchup is 46.5 points, which is under the 48.75 points average seen in the past four rounds the Miami Dolphins and Green Bay Packers have played out, but not by much either.
The total has averaged 50.0 points in the Miami Dolphins’ ten most recent games, as well as 41.4 points in their last five at home. Games at the Hard Rock Stadium don’t always seem to produce the expected number of points, as the total has gone under in six of the past ten matchups home matches for the Miami Dolphins.
As for the Green Bay Packers, the average total has been 45.7 points in the away team’s past ten matches and 46.4 points in the last five on the road. Over was a winning bet three times in the past five road games for the Green Bay Packers, who are 6-4 against the total in their last ten home and away games combined.
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers Betting trends
- In four of Green Bay Packers’ last five games, the total went over
NFL Power Rankings Week 16 2022, Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers
Miami Dolphins Form
A 32-29 defeat to the Buffalo Bills last time out extended the Miami Dolphins’ losing streak to three games, leaving the hosts 5-5 across their past 10 outings.
The Miami Dolphins boast one of the league’s most improved offensive lines, going from 20.1 points per game last season to 24.6 points to rank ninth this year. The defense, however, has lagged behind compared to most of the league’s defensive lines, allowing 24.6 points per game this year,.
The Miami Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 8-6 from 14 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the home side is to at least maintain or improve on their seventh seed in the AFC Conference.
Green Bay Packers Form
The Green Bay Packers went 6-8 for the season last week by defeating the Los Angeles Rams 24-12. In their past ten matches, they’ve gone 3-7 and are also 1-4 in their last five on the road.
The Green Bay Packers’ offense has been in a slump this season; from ranking tenth in the league last year with 25.6 points per game, it has only put up 20.5 points in the current one. As for the defense, the visitors have given up 25.2 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 22.4 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.
This year, the Green Bay Packers had been tipped to go far into the playoffs. However, 14 matches into the current regular season, the visitors are only 6-8 and won’t be around when the NFL postseason gets underway in January unless, of course, they can turn things around quickly.
Miami Dolphins VS Green Bay Packers H2H history
The Green Bay Packers bagged a 31-12 win over the Miami Dolphins in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the Lambeau Field in November 2018. The Hard Rock Stadium has been a great hunting ground for the Green Bay Packers in recent years. They’ve won their past two games at this venue against the Miami Dolphins, and are 3-1 in the last four overall.
In their past four head-to-head games, the Miami Dolphins pulled off 20.75 points on average per game, whereas Green Bay Packers managed 28 points per match.