Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans NFL match analysis, predictions and odds

The GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium plays host to an AFC Conference matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs (5-2) and the Tennessee Titans (5-2) on Monday. The Kansas City Chiefs are in first place in AFC West after collecting five wins from seven games so far in the regular season, while five wins in seven matches leaves Tennessee Titans first in the AFC South.

The Kansas City Chiefs are the big favorites to snatch the win on the moneyline. Considering how strongly the oddsmakers rate their chances against the Tennessee Titans, the home crowd will be anything but impressed if they somehow slip up at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans Betting

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans Moneyline

We’re taking the Kansas City Chiefs (1.15) for the outright win on the moneyline. The 2-1 hosts seem to excel against AFC South opposition, having won seven of their last eight matchups against teams from the division. Odds of 1.15 suggests they have an 87% chance of success. That said, the Tennessee Titans are no pushovers. They’re 11-8 in their last five encounters with AFC teams and are priced on the moneyline at 5.75, which suggests they have an 87% chance of victory at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Against the Spread

The Kansas City Chiefs (1.15) are expected to win by more than a touchdown on Sunday. The oddsmakers currently have the hosts down as -12.5 point favorites over the Tennessee Titans in the Week 9 betting lines. The last five rounds between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans have been rather one-sided, with an average winning margin of up to 12.6 points.

Home-field advantage hasn’t worked its magic for the Kansas City Chiefs recently though, at least for spread betting. The hosts have failed to cover the spread in their last three games and counting at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. However, as the Kansas City Chiefs have only covered the spread in half of their past 10 home rounds, perhaps they’re a bit 50/50. They are also 5-5 ATS in the last 10 overall.

Even away from home, the Tennessee Titans look too good to pass up on the spread. Backing the visitors has paid off in each of their last five games, and we’re tempted to go down this route. The visitors are 3-2 ATS from their 10 most recent road trips, as well as 7-3 ATS in their last ten games overall.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans Over/Under

The last 13 games between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans offered a decent average of 47.38 points on the board.

Going for the Over (1.15) in Monday’s matchup at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium seems the way to go as the total has gone over in four of the past 13 matchups between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Tennessee Titans.

The total has gone under in four of the Kansas City Chiefs’ last five games on their home turf. Games at the GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium don’t always seem to produce the expected number of points, as the total has gone under in three of the past eight matchups home matches for the Kansas City Chiefs.

The total score went under in the last four games Tennessee Titans played. Meanwhile, the total has only gone over in two of the last 5 away games for the Tennessee Titans. They are 4-6 in the last 10 games, whether home or away when it comes to total points scored.

• Tennessee Titans have covered the spread in their last five games away
• four of Tennessee Titans’ last five games went under

Kansas City Chiefs Form

The Kansas City Chiefs should be confident going into their latest divisional matchup, having won their last seven clashes against AFC South teams.

The Kansas City Chiefs bring one of the NFL’s most lethal offenses into the game. The hosts are one of the top-scoring outfits this season, having put 31.9 points on board so far. As for the defense, the hosts have given up 25.4 points across the previous five outings. Considering the defensive unit has only allowed 24.6 points for the season itself, it’s fair to say the defensive unit has not performed to its usual standards of late.

The Kansas City Chiefs are touted as a potential Super Bowl challenger for this season. While it’s still early days, things are going according to plan so far. The hosts hold the third seed in the AFC Conference, leaving them set for a spot in the January playoffs. Until then, the aim will be to strengthen their position by either maintaining or improving their current seeding.

Tennessee Titans Form

Form is really looking good for the Tennessee Titans after claiming a 10-17 win against Houston Texans last week. The victory extended their winning streak to five matches, improving their regular season record to 5-2. They are also 3-1 on the road.

The Tennessee Titans offense seems to have kicked things up a notch lately. Despite posting only 18.9 points for the season, the offensive unit has put 21.0 points on board in the last five matches alone. A middle-of-the-pack defense is what the Tennessee Titans have to offer ahead of their latest road trip, with 19.7 points allowed across seven matches so far.

As the reigning AFC South champions, a successful title defense is a priority for the Tennessee Titans right now. By doing so, they’ll seal a playoff spot and a more favorable tie at home.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans H2H

The Tennessee Titans were able to avenge their 35-24 defeat against the Kansas City Chiefs in January 2020 by winning the latest meeting between the two teams 27-3 at the Nissan Stadium. Kansas City Chiefs claimed no less than six wins from 13 games against the Tennessee Titans and are favored by the bookies to extend their grip. The sportsbooks have the home win priced at 1.15 for a 87%, which suggests the hosts have an 87% winning chance of victory.

In their last 13 head-to-head games, Kansas City Chiefs managed to score 24.46 points on average per game, while Tennessee Titans scored 22.92 points per match.

Standings