The Denver Broncos (4-12) play the Los Angeles Chargers (10-6) at Empower Field at Mile High on 8th January in Week 18 of the NFL. Going into this AFC West matchup, the Los Angeles Chargers sit second in the division with ten wins from 16 matches, six games clear of the fourth-placed Denver Broncos. It looks like a match, which could go either way, as not a lot seems to be separating the Denver Broncos from the Los Angeles Chargers. This could go down to the wire before a winner emerges.
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Betting lines
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Betting expert picks
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Moneyline
While home-field advantage is on their side, the Denver Broncos’ record in this series is a bit of a letdown, losing their last two matchups to go 2-3 SU. On the other side, the Los Angeles Chargers are riding a four-match winning streak. Backing the 10-6 visitors to improve their five-win road tally returns -165 odds, implying there is a 62% chance of a payout.
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Spread
The Los Angeles Chargers open up as the 3-point favorites over the Denver Broncos, according to the Arizona sportsbooks. This suggests a road win is possible, but it won’t be by much. A one-score game anyhow seems to be where the smart money lies, as the last five rounds between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers produced an average winning margin of 8.6 points.
The Denver Broncos went 5-6 ATS in their most recent games against AFC West teams. The offense put up 19.8 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 25.6 points. The hosts are also 5-4 ATS in the past nine games at home and 5-5 ATS overall from their previous ten games.
Over the past 11 games against AFC West opponents, the Los Angeles Chargers went 6-5 ATS. Their offense averaged 25.4 points per game during that span, and the defense gave up 24.3 points on average. For covering the spread, the Los Angeles Chargers have managed to string together a fine record. They have covered the spread in their last two matchups, going 3-1-1 ATS in their last five matchups in all.
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Total
The points total in matches between the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers tends to sway to the lower side, as they have averaged 39.3 points in their last ten meetings.
The current total on the Week 18 betting line for this matchup is 40.5 points, which is under the 43.8 points average seen in the past five rounds the Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers have played out, but not by much either.
In their most recent AFC West matchups at the Empower Field at Mile High, the Denver Broncos averaged 50.2 points points per game and went 3-2 against the total. Looking back on the last five games on home soil for the Denver Broncos, the total went over two times. They are 4-6 against the total overall from their previous ten matches.
The total has gone under in four of the last five matches for the Los Angeles Chargers, who have seen 44.8 points on average per game this season. Interestedly, the total has gone under in seven of the Los Angeles Chargers’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC West.
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers Betting trends
- Denver Broncos have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
- In four of Denver Broncos’ last five games, the total went over
- In four of the Los Angeles Chargers’ last five games, the total went under
- Denver Broncos won the last three H2H matches against Los Angeles Chargers when playing at home.
NFL Power Rankings Week 18 2022, Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers
Denver Broncos Form
The Denver Broncos fell to back-to-back defeats last week when the Kansas City Chiefs beat them 27-24. The hosts are now 2-8 in their past 10 games overall and 1-4 in the last five at home.
The Denver Broncos’ offense has a long way to go before we can consider it a top-tier unit, having managed just 16.0 points per game this season. However, what the hosts lack in offense, they clearly make up for in defense, having only allowed 20.7 points on average to rank tenth in the league.
Unfortunately, the Denver Broncos are already eliminated from playoff contention. While expectations weren’t high going into this regular season, the 4-12 hosts are already down and out. Locking onto a strong pick in the NFL draft order is the best they can hope for now.
Los Angeles Chargers Form
Form is really looking good for the Los Angeles Chargers after claiming a 31-10 win against Los Angeles Rams last week. The victory extended their winning streak to four matches, improving their regular season record to 10-6. They are also 5-3 on the road.
The Los Angeles Chargers’ offense has been in a slump this season; from ranking fifth in the league last year with 27.9 points per game, it has only put up 22.7 points in the current one. The defense, on the other hand, has really stepped up against opposing offenses of late. In the past five outings, the visitors have only given up 14.2 points on average. This is better than how they’ve fared over the season, having allowed 22.1 points per game in comparison.
The AFC West title may no longer be possible with a 10-6 record, but the fifth-seeded Los Angeles Chargers have still clinched a spot in the upcoming AFC playoffs going into their latest matchup.
Denver Broncos VS Los Angeles Chargers H2H history
The Los Angeles Chargers bagged a 19-16 win over the Denver Broncos in the previous matchup between these two franchises. The encounter took place at the SoFi Stadium in October 2022. The two sides came away with five wins from their past ten meetings, meaning the upcoming matchup between the Denver Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers will be something of a tiebreaker in this series in terms of outright wins.
The Denver Broncos managed an average of 17.9 points a game in their ten most recent outings against the Los Angeles Chargers, who averaged 21.4 points.