The San Francisco 49ers (7-4) play the Miami Dolphins (8-3) at Levi’s Stadium on December 4th. Going into this Week 13 matchup, the Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East. A tally of eight wins is one more than what their opponents have managed all season, with the San Francisco 49ers seeing victory seven times to go first in the NFC West. The San Francisco 49ers are clear favorites to add another win to their haul. Form is looking good, and with home-field advantage to boot, they’ll look to down the Miami Dolphins in style in front of their supporters at the Levi’s Stadium.
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San Francisco 49ers VS Miami Dolphins Betting lines
San Francisco 49ers VS Miami Dolphins Betting expert picks
Moneyline
Take the San Francisco 49ers (-192) for the outright win on the moneyline. The oddsmakers rate their chances of success on Sunday at 66%, and given their decent run of form at home, it’s easy to see why. The 6-4 hosts have won three of their last four matches at the Levi’s Stadium, leaving their home record for the season at 3-1 SU. On the other hand, a Miami Dolphins win is priced at +167, with the visitors 3-2 on the road and 8-3 overall for this season.
Spread
Oddsmakers favor the San Francisco 49ers (-110) to win Sunday’s game, but not by much. The hosts open up as the 3.5-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins. In the last six matchups in this series, the average points margin between these two sides was 9.8 points.
It’s been nip and tuck as far as the San Francisco 49ers’ recent home record against the Miami Dolphins is concerned. Both teams have a 50% win rate from their past four matchups at the Levi’s Stadium, with an average points margin of 11.8 points between them. However, the San Francisco 49ers have only covered the spread in half of their past five home rounds and are 5-4 ATS in the last nine overall.
The Miami Dolphins, on the other hand, are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 matchups against the San Francisco 49ers, and 13-7 ATS from their previous 20 games. For covering the spread in more recent times, the Miami Dolphins have managed to string together a fine record. They have covered the spread in their last two matchups, going 6-3 ATS in their last nine matchups in all.
Total
Siding with the Under (-109) seems a worthwhile bet. The total is set at 47.0, and with the two teams boasting an average points total of 43.8 from their last five matchups, it seems going under is the way to go.
The total has averaged 42.2 points in the San Francisco 49ers’ nine most recent games, as well as 43.0 points in their last four at home. Interestedly, the total has gone under in six of the San Francisco 49ers’ past 11 matchups against teams from the AFC East.
The total has gone over in five of the Miami Dolphins’ last six games they played on the road. Also worth mentioning is the fact that exactly half the previous 10 away games for the Miami Dolphins went over. All in all, they are 5-5 over/under in their last 10 games, whether home or away.
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San Francisco 49ers VS Miami Dolphins Betting trends
- Miami Dolphins’ last three away games went over.
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NFL Power Rankings Week 13 2022, San Francisco 49ers VS Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers Form
The San Francisco 49ers shut the New Orleans Saints out last week to claim a 13-0 win. It extended their winning streak to four games.
The offense is on an excellent run of form, having put 28.5 points on board in the last five matches, which is more than the 23.6 points that the San Francisco 49ers have managed for the season. The San Francisco 49ers also have one of the most stubborn defensive units in the entire league, having allowed just 17.3 points per game this season.
In the San Francisco 49ers, lies a potential dark horse in the Super Bowl race. This team made it to the NFC Championship game in the previous football season, ending up third in the NFC West standings to boot, and should be capable of at least making it to the playoffs once more this year.
Miami Dolphins Form
Form is strong for the Miami Dolphins, who beat Houston Texans by a 30-15 scoreline last time out, thereby extending their winning streak to five matches. Their overall regular season record is now 8-3 and 3-2 on the road.
The offense has continued to torment opposing defenses consistently, averaging 30.2 points in the last five matches. This leaves the Miami Dolphins’ tally for the season at 25.6 points overall. On the other side of the ball, the defense has been relatively average in the league recently. The visitors have given up 20.2 points in the previous five outings, which is more or less on par with the 23.3 points they’ve allowed per game over the course of the regular season.
The Miami Dolphins began the regular season backed to go far in the playoff, and having gone 8-3 from 11 games so far, they’re on course to reach this target. The aim now for the away side is to at least maintain or improve on their second seed in the AFC Conference.
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San Francisco 49ers VS Miami Dolphins H2H history
The total reached 47.0 points in the most recent encounter between these teams in October 2020. The matchup ended in a 17-43 road victory for the Miami Dolphins back then. In fact, the San Francisco 49ers have claimed just one win from their past five matchups against the Miami Dolphins, leaving them with an overall record of 1-4.
In their past six head-to-head games, the San Francisco 49ers pulled off 19.17 points on average per game, whereas Miami Dolphins managed 20.83 points per match.
